The Policy Analysis Market fell through - system to help the Pentagon guess how world events will go based on people investing (betting) on assassinations and political events. Apart from how morally vacant the idea is, some people have been debating whether it would actually work. Supposedly having a market like this can help predict events. But I'm a little unclear on how this would work. Couldn't they just poll hundreds of people to see what they think might happen? Because if I'm understanding this correctly, it sounds as if the people who put the most money up to back their opinion would presumably carry the most weight. Is there something about money that makes people more knowledgable, or more psychic? Yuk.